Thursday, July 31, 2025

Not Everything That Glitters Is Science: Propaganda, Statistics, and Common Sense

 

Introduction

Having a beautiful woman recommend a cosmetic, an outfit, or a food product proves absolutely nothing. It’s not the product that made her beautiful — it’s her beauty that made her the choice for the commercial.

Exaggerated Claims in Advertising

Misleading comparisons are common, especially in beauty product ads. “I used to look like this… and now look at me after using the amazing shampoo X,” says the model. But think about it: how much of the transformation is due to the shampoo — and how much to the stylist, makeup artist, wardrobe, lighting, and photographer?

Advertising, by nature, exaggerates — it highlights the virtues and hides the flaws. And often it borrows the language of science to sound more convincing.

When Science Is Distorted

The COVID-19 pandemic was a striking example of how scientific evidence can be distorted. Chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine showed some effect in vitro, but were ineffective in clinical trials. Still, they were irresponsibly promoted — even by political figures.

The same happened with ivermectin. A meta-analysis of randomized trials showed no benefit in mortality, hospital stay, or viral load. Yet, it was widely publicized based on weak or misrepresented evidence.

The Illusion of Context-Free Numbers

In 2007, a Colgate ad in the UK claimed: “More than 80% of dentists recommend Colgate.” The public understood: '80% prefer Colgate'. Not true. Dentists were allowed to name multiple brands — and Colgate was simply one of the many mentioned.

The Case of Den-Den Chewing Gum

In the 1980s, Brazil saw the rise of a chewing gum called Den-Den. Its packaging claimed: “Helps prevent cavities... prevents 80% of cavities.” It contained chlorhexidine gluconate — a known antiseptic — but in trace amounts (0.02 mg per piece), and around 70% of the product was sugar.

Studies showed Den-Den had no significant anti-cavity or anti-plaque effect (Neder et al., 1981). By 1984, it was banned from sale. The dental association's journal mocked the episode with the editorial titled: *The Smile of the Chewing Gum*.

Skepticism and Common Sense

These cases show we must cultivate healthy skepticism — without falling into paranoia. We are not guardians of reason: we act today with yesterday’s knowledge, trying to shape tomorrow.

The 4W-2H Rule

Apply the 4W-2H rule when evaluating information:
• Who? Is the source an expert?
• Where? Where was the data collected?
• When? When was the research conducted?
• What? What was actually proven?
• How? How was the study conducted?
• How many? How much data supports the conclusion?

Propaganda vs. Publicity

Commercial propaganda aims to provoke an emotional — not rational — response. It’s more accurate to call it publicity. But propaganda isn’t inherently negative. Campaigns for vaccination, censuses, or charitable causes are examples of positive propaganda.

Final Thoughts

As Mark Twain once said: “Many small things have been made large by the right kind of advertising.” We just need to know how to distinguish good from bad — and not be misled by 'evidence' that proves nothing.

Sources and Further Reading

·  World Health Organization. Therapeutics and COVID-19: Living guideline. WHO, 2021.

·  Roman, Y. et al. Ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2021.

·  ASA (Advertising Standards Authority). Colgate advertisement ruling, UK, 2007.

·  Neder, A.C. et al. Anti-cavity chewing gum (Preliminary note). Vida Odontológica, Vila Franca de Xirpa, Portugal. 8: p. 404, 1981.

·  Editorial: The smile of the chewing gum. Revista da Associação Brasileira de Odontologia (ABO Nac.), n. 2, Feb./Mar. 1994.

·  Vieira, S. Prevenção da cárie: a ética e a metodologia. Blog

·  Twain, M. The Tragedy of Pudd'nhead Wilson, 1894.

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